Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000078 0.000082 0.000086 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100 0.000105
2025-02-02 0.000072 0.000078 0.000084 0.000091 0.000098 0.000107 0.000118
2025-02-09 0.000069 0.000076 0.000083 0.000092 0.000103 0.000115 0.000130
2025-02-16 0.000067 0.000075 0.000083 0.000094 0.000107 0.000122 0.000143
2025-02-23 0.000067 0.000075 0.000085 0.000098 0.000114 0.000134 0.000162
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000072 0.000082 0.000096 0.000113 0.000135 0.000166
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079 0.000092 0.000110 0.000134 0.000168
2025-03-16 0.000058 0.000067 0.000078 0.000092 0.000111 0.000137 0.000176
2025-03-23 0.000057 0.000067 0.000078 0.000094 0.000115 0.000144 0.000190
2025-03-30 0.000055 0.000065 0.000076 0.000092 0.000114 0.000146 0.000196
2025-04-06 0.000053 0.000062 0.000073 0.000089 0.000111 0.000142 0.000194
2025-04-13 0.000050 0.000059 0.000070 0.000086 0.000107 0.000139 0.000191
2025-04-20 0.000048 0.000056 0.000067 0.000082 0.000104 0.000135 0.000188
2025-04-27 0.000047 0.000055 0.000067 0.000083 0.000106 0.000140 0.000201
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000055 0.000067 0.000084 0.000109 0.000148 0.000219
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000055 0.000067 0.000085 0.000113 0.000156 0.000239
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069 0.000089 0.000120 0.000171 0.000276
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000054 0.000067 0.000087 0.000118 0.000170 0.000278
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000052 0.000065 0.000084 0.000115 0.000167 0.000277
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000051 0.000064 0.000084 0.000116 0.000170 0.000291
2025-06-15 0.000042 0.000051 0.000065 0.000085 0.000119 0.000180 0.000320
2025-06-22 0.000041 0.000050 0.000063 0.000084 0.000118 0.000180 0.000328
2025-06-29 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000081 0.000115 0.000175 0.000321